Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
10º
9º
29
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 2
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VID
1 - 2
HNP
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RES
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 3
RES
14%
24%
62%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RES
4 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |