Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
RDM
1 - 0
HNP
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 4
OLI
17%
23%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
HNP
3 - 2
RDM
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 2
HNP
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
RES
1 - 0
MOT
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
RSO
0 - 0
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 2
RES
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
RES
1 - 2
LDA
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
RES
1 - 2
JAG
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |