Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 0
JUT
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 0
HNP
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
2 - 1
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
HNP
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
OLI
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
RES
1 - 1
MOT
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
RES
1 - 0
OLI
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RDM
1 - 0
RES
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
RES
2 - 1
JUT
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |