Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 2
JUT
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 1
VID
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 0
HNP
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 3
RES
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 1
RES
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
RES
2 - 3
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 0
RES
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |