Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RSO
3 - 0
HNP
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 4
HNP
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RES
1 - 0
VID
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RES
2 - 2
RSO
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 3
RES
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
RES
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
RES
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |