Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 3
HNP
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HNP
0 - 2
VIC
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
OCC
1 - 2
HNP
7%
13%
81%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 1
HNP
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
RES
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 2
RES
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
RES
8%
14%
79%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RES
0 - 1
VID
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 3
RES
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |