Honduras Progreso vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 2
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
HNP
32%
21%
46%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
HNP
81%
13%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 1
QRO
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PUM
5 - 3
MON
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
HNP
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PAC
3 - 0
PUM
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |