Honduras Progreso vs Parrillas One analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
3 - 2
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
4 - 4
HNP
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
RSO
2 - 1
HNP
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 1
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
2 - 2
OLI
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parrillas One
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
PLA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 2
RSO
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VID
1 - 3
PAR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |