Honduras Progreso vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
10º
9º
25
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VID
1 - 2
HNP
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
25%
25%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOT
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
JAG
3 - 2
VID
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |