Honduras Progreso vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 1
MOT
20%
24%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
HNP
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
JAG
3 - 0
VID
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 1
JAG
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOT
30%
25%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
JAG
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |