Honduras Progreso vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
HNP
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
OLI
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
0 - 1
RDM
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VID
1 - 4
HNP
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
DSA
1 - 0
HNP
32%
24%
45%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RDM
0 - 1
JAG
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
JAG
7%
15%
78%
|
60 | 17 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
JAG
4 - 1
JUT
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
JAG
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |