Honduras Progreso vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 1
HNP
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
HNP
3 - 2
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VID
1 - 1
HNP
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 2
MOT
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 0
RSO
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 2
JUT
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 2
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 0
JAG
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 0
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VID
1 - 0
JAG
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |