CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 0-2
Honduras Progreso vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
29%
25%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
HNP
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
MOT
3 - 0
HNP
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 4
MOT
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
HNP
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
HNP
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
TAU
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |