Honduras Progreso vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 0
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 1
HNP
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 2
MAR
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
OLI
7 - 0
HNP
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 0
OLI
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 2
RSO
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
MOT
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
EFC
2 - 1
VIC
6%
13%
81%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 1
VIC
6%
13%
82%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 3
JUT
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |