Honduras Progreso vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
OCC
1 - 2
HNP
7%
13%
81%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 1
HNP
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HNP
0 - 0
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 4
HNP
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
DSA
0 - 1
VIC
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
33%
27%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 0
VIC
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
VIC
10%
17%
73%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |