Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
PLA
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 3
RES
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VID
4 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 3
JAG
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 0
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 6
VID
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 5
MOT
11%
22%
67%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
0 - 2
OLI
9%
20%
71%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VID
1 - 0
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |