Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
HNP
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOT
5 - 0
HNP
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
MAR
23%
25%
51%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 2
HNP
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
MAR
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 2
OLI
10%
20%
71%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 0
RSO
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 0
JAG
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
RSO
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |