Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
HNP
2 - 2
OLI
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 2
MOT
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 1
HNP
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JUT
2 - 1
HNP
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
VID
2 - 2
RSO
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 0
RES
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MOT
3 - 3
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 0
JUT
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 2
PLA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |