Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 4
HNP
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
HNP
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HNP
3 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HNP
3 - 2
VID
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
4 - 3
RSO
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
RSO
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 8 | 57 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 1
RSO
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 3
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
RSO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 1
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |