Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 0
HNP
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
3 - 3
VID
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
HNP
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
HNP
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
5 - 3
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 0
HNP
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
RSO
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
RSO
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RSO
5 - 0
VIC
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
RSO
0 - 1
RES
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |