Honduras Progreso vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 1
HNP
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 5
OLI
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 2
HNP
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
HNP
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 2
PLA
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
RDM
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
RDM
2 - 2
VID
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
RDM
0 - 0
RES
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 2
RDM
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RDM
0 - 3
JAG
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |