Honduras Progreso vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VID
1 - 4
HNP
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
DSA
1 - 0
HNP
32%
24%
45%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 2
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
RES
3 - 2
HNP
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
JUT
0 - 0
HNP
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
RDM
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 7
RDM
6%
13%
82%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RDM
1 - 2
JUT
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PLA
4 - 1
RDM
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RDM
0 - 2
VID
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |