Honduras Progreso vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 1
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
HNP
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
4 - 2
PLA
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 2
HNP
29%
24%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
VID
1 - 0
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VID
2 - 1
OLI
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RES
1 - 1
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
INT
0 - 6
OLI
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
VIC
77%
17%
7%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |