Honduras Progreso vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
10º
9º
25
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
HNP
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HNP
2 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
ALI
28%
26%
45%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HNP
2 - 2
RSO
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 2
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 2
RSO
67%
20%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
TIG
5 - 0
MOT
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
VID
0 - 1
MOT
32%
29%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
TIG
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |