Honduras Progreso vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
HNP
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 1
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
COM
4 - 2
MOT
30%
24%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 2
COM
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |