Honduras Progreso vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 1
HNP
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 3
HNP
4%
9%
87%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RES
0 - 0
HNP
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
RES
28%
22%
50%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 0
BEL
88%
10%
2%
|
71 | 29 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
PLA
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
DFC
2 - 1
MOT
1%
5%
94%
|
72 | 11 | 61 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
MOT
44%
24%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |