Honduras Progreso vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
58.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
JUT
2 - 2
HNP
46%
24%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
MAR
28%
26%
45%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
3 - 0
HNP
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RDM
3 - 0
HNP
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VID
0 - 1
MOT
12%
24%
64%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
4 - 0
JUT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 1
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |