Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RDM
3 - 4
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
HNP
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
HNP
84%
13%
4%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 5
MOT
9%
20%
71%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 1
HNP
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |