Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 1
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 0
OLI
6%
17%
78%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
4 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 4
PLA
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 4
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
33%
24%
42%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |