Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
3 - 0
HNP
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RDM
3 - 0
HNP
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
2 - 0
VID
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 4
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 6
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 3
VID
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RES
1 - 1
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |