Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 2
HNP
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 1
PLA
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 0
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
4 - 1
HNP
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
HNP
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
RES
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
VID
3 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
4 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIC
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSO
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |