Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HNP
3 - 2
VID
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
4 - 3
RSO
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 0
HNP
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
3 - 3
VID
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
HNP
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
RSO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
PLA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
HNP
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
MOT
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |