H. Nieves vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
HON
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
HON
2 - 2
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HON
3 - 0
MON
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASP
3 - 0
HON
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 1
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
RAF
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
RAF
4 - 1
ASP
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
RAF
43%
24%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 3
CDC
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |