Honda vs Yokogawa Musashino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
HON
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 2
HON
9%
16%
75%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
RKD
2 - 1
HON
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HON
2 - 0
FAG
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
URA
0 - 1
HON
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
YOK
1 - 0
AZU
24%
26%
51%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SON
1 - 0
YOK
70%
21%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
YOK
0 - 1
VAN
28%
27%
45%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 0
YOK
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
YOK
1 - 1
HON
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |