Honda vs Verspah Oita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
1º
39
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
KAA
3 - 0
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 4
HON
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
YOK
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 1
HON
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VEK
0 - 1
HON
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Verspah Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
OIT
0 - 1
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VER
0 - 0
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VER
2 - 1
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 6 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
YOK
2 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VER
0 - 4
VEK
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |