Honda vs Veertien Kuwana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
1º
34
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
MIO
80%
15%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
OSV
0 - 5
HON
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
REA
2 - 3
HON
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
KUS
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 3
HON
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Veertien Kuwana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VEK
1 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
VEK
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
URA
2 - 1
VEK
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VEK
2 - 1
SON
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MIO
0 - 0
VEK
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |