Honda vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
6 - 1
HON
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 1
HON
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
HON
1 - 1
HON
69%
19%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 2
HON
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HON
3 - 0
TOC
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 0
ZWE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
HON
0 - 4
VVA
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 1
RYK
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
TOC
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FUJ
1 - 2
VVA
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |