Honda vs Reinmeer Aomori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
2º
19
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 61 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 52 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 48 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 45 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 36 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 27 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 0
HON
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VEK
2 - 0
HON
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HON
3 - 0
OSV
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
0 - 1
HON
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
CRS
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Reinmeer Aomori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
SON
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
REA
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
REA
2 - 2
TCF
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
YOK
1 - 1
REA
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
REA
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |