Honda vs Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 2
HON
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
HON
1 - 0
RKD
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
HON
3 - 0
VER
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
COF
0 - 2
HON
10%
17%
73%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
HON
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
OSA
0 - 0
FCI
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
OSA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
OSA
2 - 3
TMF
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
VEK
2 - 1
OSA
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
OSA
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |