Honda vs Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
RKD
0 - 4
HON
21%
22%
57%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HON
2 - 0
VEK
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
HON
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
URA
0 - 3
HON
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HON
1 - 1
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OSA
2 - 1
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OSA
6 - 0
MIO
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HON
2 - 1
OSA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
REA
2 - 4
OSA
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
OSA
2 - 2
FCI
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |