Honda vs Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 0
HON
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
MAR
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
YOK
3 - 3
HON
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 2
HON
30%
23%
48%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HON
1 - 2
SON
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 2
URA
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 0
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
OSA
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
OSA
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OSA
0 - 0
RKD
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |