Honda vs Maruyasu Industries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
9º
3º
22
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 62 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 50 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 44 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 34 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 23 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SON
1 - 0
HON
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
HON
17%
23%
61%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
TCF
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
YOK
0 - 2
HON
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
REA
67%
22%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Maruyasu Industries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
URA
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SON
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CRS
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
KUS
1 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |