Honda vs Maruyasu Industries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
1º
37
2º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 4
HON
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 1
HON
10%
20%
70%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
REA
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
HON
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
URA
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Maruyasu Industries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
YOK
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
VER
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |