Honda vs Kagoshima United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAN
0 - 2
HON
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HON
0 - 0
AZU
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 4
HON
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HON
3 - 1
REN
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HON
3 - 2
HOY
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Kagoshima United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
KAG
2 - 1
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SON
0 - 0
KAG
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
KAG
4 - 0
YOK
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
KAG
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
URA
2 - 1
KAG
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |