Honda vs Hoyo Oita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
ZWE
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 3
HON
24%
25%
50%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
HON
4 - 1
RYK
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 3
HON
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HON
3 - 1
KAM
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hoyo Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
HOY
2 - 2
YOK
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZWE
0 - 0
HOY
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HON
0 - 2
HOY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HOY
1 - 1
SON
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RYK
3 - 2
HOY
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |