Honda vs Fagiano Okayama II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
URA
0 - 1
HON
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HON
2 - 2
REA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HON
2 - 0
OSA
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RKD
2 - 3
HON
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
HON
2 - 1
YOK
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
AZU
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 3
SON
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
FAG
71%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 0
AZU
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FAG
0 - 1
MIO
43%
22%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |