Honda vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
1º
34
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
MAR
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 4
HON
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 1
HON
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
REA
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
HON
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
VER
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRS
4 - 1
HON
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRS
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
KUS
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
CRS
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |