Minebea Mitsumi vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
16º
26
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minebea Mitsumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 2
HON
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HON
0 - 1
TIA
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MIO
5 - 0
HON
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HON
1 - 3
VER
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CRS
1 - 4
TIA
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MIO
0 - 1
CRS
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CRS
1 - 1
VER
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
CRS
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRS
1 - 2
SON
28%
24%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |