Lion City Sailors vs Hougang United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
2º
1º
14
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 71 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 71 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 52 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 29 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 23 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
41% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lion City Sailors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
CYL
0 - 6
LCS
5%
11%
84%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LCS
0 - 5
TAM
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
LCS
13%
17%
70%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LCS
3 - 0
TAN
87%
10%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
GEY
1 - 1
LCS
11%
16%
73%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hougang United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HOU
1 - 0
ALB
13%
17%
70%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DPM
1 - 1
HOU
34%
22%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 2
CYL
84%
10%
6%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
5 - 1
HOU
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 3
BAL
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |