FC 08 Homburg vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 1
SGF
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
HOM
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
EIN
4 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 2
SVS
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
WUR
1 - 2
AUG
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
DAR
6 - 0
WUR
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
WUR
1 - 2
BAY
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
WUR
2 - 1
FRE
40%
22%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
SGF
2 - 0
WUR
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |